←Leaderboard/Finance/digital-oracle
Last commit on July 26, 2026·Created on March 11, 2026

komako-workshop/digital-oracle

“Derives event probabilities by cross-validating signals from global trading markets”
Combined rank
#387
across all skills
In Finance
#9
category rank
Stars
851
+1.8% in last 7d
Forks
169
+1.2% in last 7d
Watchers
2
0.0% in last 7d
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TL;DR

Digital Oracle replaces opinion-based forecasting with data derived from prediction markets, commodities, equities, and options chains. It is designed for quantitative analysts who need to estimate the likelihood of geopolitical or economic events based on where capital is actually being deployed.

By analyzing yield curves, derivatives, and currencies, the skill produces structured probability reports on market bubbles, recession risks, and industrial shifts.

WHO IT'S FOR
Quantitative analysts
cross-validate macro signals using market data
Macro traders
estimate probabilities for geopolitical and economic events
AI agent power users
integrate market-driven prediction capabilities into AI workflows
Risk managers
analyze market consensus on tail-risk scenarios
Repository contents

1 skill file

Compatible AgentsThe repository documents support for these agents. The skills may also work with other agents that can load SKILL.md files, but they may need some setup or small changes.

Use this skill

Follow the documented setup, then try a first task.

I’m using

Install with OpenClaw

Installs: Digital Oracle skill · OpenClaw

Before you start
  • uv must already be installed; it is used to run the skill's Python scripts at runtime.
  • yfinance is required for YahooPriceProvider price history and YFinanceProvider options-chain functionality.
  1. Run this terminal command to install Digital Oracle from ClawHub.

    clawhub install digital-oracle
  2. If you intend to use YahooPriceProvider price history or YFinanceProvider options-chain functionality, run this additional terminal command after ensuring uv is installed.

    uv pip install yfinance
SKILL.md ↗ · Checked Sep 29, 2026README.en.md ↗ · Checked Sep 29, 2026

Give it something to do.

Suggested first task

Estimate this year's US recession probability

Uses digital-oracle

  • Target event: US recession
  • Time window: this year
Use the digital-oracle skill to estimate the probability of a US recession this year. Define the event and time window, use at least three independent market-trading signal dimensions, explain how each price signal supports the judgment, identify contradictions between signals, and return a concise structured probability report. Do not use news or analyst opinions as causal evidence.
SKILL.md ↗ · Checked Sep 29, 2026
Suggested first task

Assess a geopolitical conflict probability

Uses digital-oracle

  • Conflict event to assess, replacing [SPECIFY CONFLICT EVENT]
  • Forecast horizon, replacing [SPECIFY TIME WINDOW]
Use the digital-oracle skill to estimate the probability of [SPECIFY CONFLICT EVENT] within [SPECIFY TIME WINDOW]. Cross-check at least three independent market signal dimensions, such as prediction contracts, safe-haven assets, conflict proxies, risk ratios, or institutional positioning. Label every signal's time horizon, explain its connection to the event, surface contradictions, and provide a concise structured probability report based only on trading data.
SKILL.md ↗ · Checked Sep 29, 2026